Even if you manage to be correct with your predictions, you still manage to piss off a group of fans or team employees for betting against their team. People are passionate about their team (or career) and I can understand that completely.
Despite what I have just stated, I have decided to once again post a prediction piece ahead of the 2015 WHL Playoffs. I guess I am a fool. But, along with providing my own predictions and reasoning for round one results, I have also taken a more advanced approach.
I will also include predictions for the first round of the postseason based on which team in the matchup had the better estimated regular season shot differential (Fenwick), the better overall goal differential for the regular season and simply, which team is the higher seed.
The Fenwick number was grabbed from the fantastic CHLstats.com and the goal differential was calculated manually using the WHL’s standings page. Seed is rather straight forward, simply choosing the higher-seeded team to advance to the next round. My personal predictions are based on my own knowledge of each team’s roster, playing style, strengths, weaknesses, injuries, etc.
It is my intent to do this process for all four rounds of the WHL postseason in 2015, and in the end, see which of the prediction method ends up with the best results.
In case you missed it, I did a piece last week that outlined how well regular season estimated Fenwick (shot differentials) can predict WHL playoff success. You can read it here as it turned out that over the past three WHL postseason’s, the team with the better regular season shot differential won 77.7% of all series. We’ll see how this year’s numbers stack up to that once it’s all said and done.